重点提示： （1）北方冷空气开始南下，前锋已过内蒙，广大中原地区有望迎来解放； （2）华北平原及南方大片城市处于黎明前的黑暗，冷锋到来之前仍有重度污染；
天气形势：
16日北方西伯利亚冷空气终于起身南下，未来数日有望给中原地区带来大风降温及新鲜空气。早8时冷锋已过黄土高原，内蒙、北京、山西和陕西北部获得解放，其余地区仍需在雾霾中等待。
图1 2015年01月16日地面天气图（08:00 UTC+8）和污染气象预报图 (图片来源：中央气象台)
预报回顾：
当日矮马全国AQI预报捕捉到区域天气形势的变化，污染带较前日南压且程度有所减弱。但实测结果变化较慢，华北地区和山东半岛仍处于重度污染。该污染气团将随着冷空气扩散而开始南巡之旅。
图2 2015年01月16日AQI空气质量预报与实况比较（左：矮马预报；右：CNEMC数据平台）
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